Suppose I have two rails and a wire connecting them I'd like to accelerate. Then $\frac{d\phi}{dt}=Bvl$, where $B$ is the magnetic field strength where the wire is, $v$ is the velocity, and $l$ is the length.
The force on the wire is $F=B\times Il$ (and assuming $B$ and $I$ are perpendicular $F=BIl$) Lets assume all other forces on the wire are very small (arbitrarily small). Then the power going into the wire is the force on the wire (or arbitrarily close to that force), Because $E=\frac{1}{2}mv^2$ and the derivative of energy is power $P=ma$, $F=ma$, $F=P$.
Just to check my sanity, I wanted to make sure the power going into the wire's motion was equal to the power coming out of the circuit.
So $P=VI$, and $V=\frac{d\phi}{dt}=Bvl$. $P=\frac{d\phi}{dt}I=BvlI$, and finally $BvlI=BIl$. Now that's obviously wrong. My sanity check has proven I'm insane.
But that's only the beginning of my problems.
Supposing I can figure out how the power out of the circuit equals the power into the wire's motion. Well, I can change the one without changing the other. Consider these two cases:
Case 1: Suppose I change the magnetic permeability of the wire; Perhaps the wire's relative permeability is 100. Then the force on the wire would be 100 times greater! (given the same current). But the voltage due to the motion in the magnetic field is the change in flux. The flux inside the circuit is determined by the permeability of air $\mu_a$, not the permeability of the wire $\mu_w$! I can change the power output by increasing $\mu_w$, without increasing the power input, because flux is determined by $\mu_a$ not $\mu_w$.
Case 2: Suppose I increase the B field by adding an inductor with the wires parallel to my rails. This will also increase the force on the projectile (by increasing the total B field), but not the rate at which area is added to the circuit!
to make case 2 more clear, if the rails are in the center of an inductor with N turns and each turn runs the length of the rails and back, then the magnetic field is $B=b(N+1)$ where b is the magnetic flux density due to one turn around the inductor (plus one because rails will also generate a magnetic field). The force on the projectile is $F=BIl$ but the change in flux is $\frac{d\phi}{dt} = bvl$, not $\frac{d\phi}{dt} = bvl$.
Both of these examples lead me to conclude that I've been lied to. EMF is not the derivative of flux. Instead I think the EMF is equal to the rate at which H-field lines pass through the wire times the permeability, regardless of the flux density on the other side of the wire. Is that the case? If not, where am I going wrong?