We can suppose that for intifinitisemaly short ammout of time $dt$ the bus rotates around one point. For this time we can expect every point in the bus to move along circles defined by the centre (defined by the rear axle, distance between axles and steering angle) and the point-centre distance. It is easy to see that points farther from the centre must travel longer distance to cover same angular motion.
Now let's simplify the bus in a line segment. Let's define three points there: $R$ as the rear axle, $S$ as the steering axle and $C$ as centre of the turn. Let's define vectors $\mathbf{r}$ and $\pmb{s}$ as vectors where the wheels are pointing and originating in their respective points $R$ and $S$.
It is easy to see several properties:
- The centre $C$ lies on lines perpedicullar to vectors $\pmb{r}$ and $\pmb{s}$,
- Points $R$, $C$ and $S$ form right triangle with right angle at $R$,
- From Pythagorean theorem we can see $|SC|^2=|RC|^2+|SR|^2$.
- The steering axle always travel around greater radius compared to the fixed axle.
- We can also see the farther the axles are, the greater the difference is.
Let's quantify the difference in respect to the steering angle. If You draw the sketch, You'll find that the steering angle $\pmb{rs}$ is equal to the angle $\gamma$ at the corner $C$. Using the triangle notation for the sides and angles (Corners: $R$, $S$, $C$, angles: $\rho$, $\sigma$, $\gamma$, sides $r$, $s$, $c$) and using goniometric functions we san see:
$$\frac r s=\frac{1}{\cos\gamma},$$
where $\frac rs$ defines the ratio between the steering axle travel radius and fixed axle travel radius and $\gamma$ is the steering angle.
We can clearly see that the key factors for You (sitting by the driver) and Your friend (sitting in the rear) are the steernig angle $\gamma$ and your distances from the fixed axle $x_Y$ and $x_F$. Each of you have your own angle of attack $\xi_Y$ and $\xi_F$ and travel radius $r_Y$ and $r_F$.
For both of you we can define your angle of attack as $\tan\xi_n=\frac {x_n}s$ and compare it to the steering angle we can get:
$$\xi_n=\arctan{\frac{x_n\tan\gamma}{c}}$$
Using this in the travel ratio we got earlier:
$$\frac {r_n}s=\frac1{\cos\left({\arctan{\frac{x_n\tan\gamma}c}}\right)}.$$
To compare Your and Your friend's travel distance we just divide previous equations to get the ratio as follows:
$$\frac{r_F}{r_Y}=\frac{\cos\left({\arctan{\frac{x_Y\tan\gamma}c}}\right)}{\cos\left({\arctan{\frac{x_F\tan\gamma}c}}\right)}.$$
There are edge cases fo course, that are interesting:
- For $\gamma=0$ the turning radius diverges to infinity, but the final equation return 1, meaning you are both travelling with the same velocity.
- For $\gamma$ approaching right angle the equation is not defined. It is easy to guess the radius ratio end up eventually as (converges to):
$$\lim_{\gamma\rightarrow\pi/2}\frac{r_F}{r_Y}=\frac{|x_F|}{|x_Y|}$$
- Because $\cos x=\cos{-x}$, it doesn't matter if your friend sits behind the rear axle or in front of it, what really matters is his and Your distance from the rear axle.
- Since all functions are "nice" (continuous, monotonous) for all values of $\gamma$ in the range from 0 to the right angle we can conclude that Your friend's radius is smaller then Yours when he is closer to the axle than you. $r_F\leq r_Y\iff x_F\leq x_Y$.
Last but not least we can translate radii into velocities and distances covered.
Since the bus behaves as a solid body (no defformations) we can expect that the angular velocity $\omega(t)$ is the same for all parts of the bus in every moment $(t)$. Then we can write:
$$v_F(t)=\omega(t) r_F(t).$$
If we care for the distance we can write it as follows:
$$s_n=\int_0^T\left(\omega(t)r_n(t)\right)dt,$$
$$s_F-s_Y=\int_0^T\left(\omega(t)r_F(t)\right)dt-\int_0^T\left(\omega(t)r_Y(t)\right)dt=\int_0^T\left(\omega(t)\left(r_F(t)-r_Y(t)\right)\right)dt$$
- It means we are adding up all little distances ($ds$) covered over little moments ($dt$).
- If we consider the bus moves forward then the multiplication $\omega(t)r_n(t)>0$.
- Then changing from left turn (say $\omega>0$) to right turn ($\omega<0$) switches the signs for radii too.
- Then if we compare the sums with the respect to your positions in the bus, we can conclude that if your friend is closer to the fixed axle ($x_F\leq x_Y$) than you are he moves slower than you ($|v_F|\leq |v_Y|$) and as he is adding smaller or equal values every time.
- For the difference you are then always adding zeros (when moving straight) or negative values there is no way you have no way to "compensate" for his loss.
So to judge your argument both claims of yours considering the bus has conventional dimensions, in other words the rearmost seat is closer to the fixed axle than the frontmost seat.
- We have proven that different points of the bus are travelling different trajecotries and distances, so your claim is false.
- Your friend's argument cannot be judged independently. If it follows my expectation of hte bus geometry. Then his claim is false too - You are travelling longer distance, but his explanation is true.