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I've calculated that I will be able to save approximately enough for a 20-25% down payment on a home (at my back-end-ratio affordability level) in the next 2-3 years. I'm maxing out contributions to my Roth IRA already, and plan to withdraw $10k from it for the first-time home purchase. I've also already saved up ~6 months of living expenses, and have 0 debt to pay down.

I believe I need something in the middle ground for risk/reward. I'd like to earn at least some return on the savings greater than a savings/cd/mm account, and can even tolerate a loss of 10-15% if it means waiting an extra 6-12 months to recover from an event like that.

What's a good investment vehicle for my needs?

Mike
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2 Answers2

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When you are saving for money you need in 5 years or less the only real option is a savings account. I know the return is nothing at this point, but if you cannot take the risk of losing all of your money that's the only thing I would recommend.

Now you could try a good growth stock mutual fund if, when you look up in 2 - 3 years and you have lost money you wait it out until it grows enough to get what you lost back then buy your house.

I would not do the second option because I wouldn't want to be stuck renting while waiting for the account to recover, and actually thinking about it that way you have more risk. 3 years from now if you have lost money and don't yet have enough saved you will have to continue paying rent, and no mutual fund will out preform that.

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Assuming this'll be a taxable account and you're an above-average wage earner, the following seem to be biggest factors in your decision:

  1. tax-advantaged income w/o retirement account protection - so I'd pick a stock/stocks or fund that's designed to minimize earnings taxable at income and/or short-term gains rates (e.g. dividends)

  2. declining risk profile - make sure you periodically tweak your investment mix over the 2-3 year period to reduce your risk exposure. You want to be near savings account risk levels by the end of your timeline. But make sure you keep #1 in mind - so probably don't adjust (by selling) anything until you've hit the 1-year holding mark to get the long-term capital gains rates.

In addition to tax-sensitive stock & bond funds at the major brokerages like Fidelity, I'd specifically look at tax-free municipal bond funds (targeted for your state of residence) since those generally pay better than savings on after tax basis for little increase in risk (assuming you stick w/ higher-rated municipalities).

Jon S
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